Paediatric Index of Mortality 3 (PIM3)
Independent clinical validation: pending
Two independent clinical validators will be named here once review is complete.
How it is calculated
PIM3 score (logit) = 3.8233 × pupils − 0.5378 × elective + 0.9763 × ventilated + 0.0671 × |base excess| − 0.0431 × SBP + 0.1716 × (SBP² ÷ 1000) + 0.4214 × (FiO₂/PaO₂ term) − 1.2246 × bypass-cardiac recovery − 0.8762 × non-bypass-cardiac recovery − 1.5164 × non-cardiac recovery + 1.6225 × very-high-risk diagnosis + 1.0725 × high-risk diagnosis − 2.1766 × low-risk diagnosis − 1.7928, where each pupil, ventilation, elective, recovery, and diagnosis indicator is 1 when present and 0 otherwise (Straney 2013). SBP is in mmHg (unknown → 120; cardiac arrest → 0; shocked/unmeasurable → 30) and enters both linearly and as SBP² ÷ 1000; base excess enters as its absolute value in mmol/L (unknown → 0); the FiO₂/PaO₂ term is (FiO₂ × 100) ÷ PaO₂ with FiO₂ a fraction and PaO₂ in mmHg, or 0.23 when either is unmeasured (PIM3's 'normal' substitute, not PIM2's 0). Predicted mortality (probability) = 1 ÷ (1 + e^−logit). Both the logit and the probability (a value from 0 to 1) are reported, each to 4 decimal places; the derivation paper defines no severity bands.
Limitations and notes
PIM3 estimates the probability of death from data collected at first ICU contact. It is a unit-level case-mix / benchmarking tool — summed individual probabilities across a cohort give an expected death count, compared with observed deaths as a Standardised Mortality Ratio (SMR = observed/expected) — and is NOT an individual bedside prediction. The derivation paper (Straney 2013) defines no diagnostic cut-points or risk bands, so this score reports none. Missing-data conventions are load-bearing: unknown systolic BP defaults to 120 mmHg, unknown base excess contributes 0, and an unmeasured FiO₂/PaO₂ sets that term to PIM3's 'normal' value of 0.23 (a correction — PIM2 used 0). SBP coding: cardiac arrest at admission → enter 0; shocked with an unmeasurable BP → enter 30; unknown → leave blank (120). Use the FIRST value of each variable from first ICU contact up to 1 hour after admission (may include ED/retrieval data), not the worst. Calibration drifts by setting and era (external AUC ~0.80–0.90, variable calibration); recalibrate and monitor locally before comparative interpretation. [NEEDS SOURCE] (all depend on the ANZICS PIM2/PIM3 Information Booklet, which returned HTTP 404 at verification): the pupil-exclusion clause (fixed pupils from drugs/toxins/local eye injury not scored), the mechanical-ventilation CPAP/BiPAP inclusion and tracheostomy-while-spontaneously-breathing exclusion, the elective 'could not have been foreseen' exclusion wording, and the exact verbatim SBP special-value wording (the values cardiac arrest→0 and shocked/unmeasurable→30 are widely repeated but no quotable full-text source was fetched). Per-region calibration statistics and the exact ANZPIC diagnosis-code mappings for each risk tier are also [NEEDS SOURCE].
Accepted input ranges
- Pupils fixed to bright light
- Mechanically ventilated in the first hour
- Elective ICU admission
- Recovery from a procedure
- Main-reason risk category
- Systolic blood pressure — 0–300 mmHg
- Base excess — -40–40 mmol/L
- FiO₂ at the time of the PaO₂ — 0.21–1 fraction
- Arterial PaO₂ — 20–600 mmHg
References
- Straney L, Clements A, Parslow RC, et al; ANZICS Paediatric Study Group and PICANet. Paediatric index of mortality 3: an updated model for predicting mortality in pediatric intensive care. Pediatr Crit Care Med. 2013;14(7):673–681.PMID 23863821DOI 10.1097/PCC.0b013e31829760cf
- ANZICS Centre for Outcome and Resource Evaluation. PIM2 & PIM3 for the ANZPIC Registry — Information Booklet (Version Jan 2019). Authoritative source for variable coding rules (SBP special values, pupil/ventilation definitions, first-hour timing).Source
- Lee OJ, Jung M, Kim M, Yang HK, Cho J. Validation of the Pediatric Index of Mortality 3 in a Single Pediatric Intensive Care Unit in Korea. J Korean Med Sci. 2017;32(2):365–370.DOI 10.3346/jkms.2017.32.2.365
Version and changelog
v1.0.0 · Mortality and severity
- 2026-07-25 v1.0.0 — Initial release: PIM3 logistic model → predicted mortality probability, with corrected FiO₂/PaO₂ missing-value default of 0.23.